 |
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
| Hiroshi Nishiura |
| Assistant Professor, School of Public Health,
The University of Hong Kong |
|
|
|
|
Statistical modelling of infectious diseases and their non-pharmaceutical interventions using
existing informative data |
| When an novel infectious disease emerges, the world does not have specific (medical) countermeasures
against it, and thus, non-pharmaceutical interventions, e.g. quarantine, isolation and contact tracing, are
called for. The present research project quantifies the efficacy and effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical
interventions by means of statistical modelling. Existing informative data, especially historical materials,
are effectively utilized. The study will not only estimate preventive performance of those interventions,
but also clarify the details and characteristics of epidemiological observations which permit us to implement
statistical estimation and short-term prediction. |
| Page Top |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
